In 2014, 26.3% of Major League
Baseball’s active players were from places outside the United States.[i]
In the 1970 that number was only 12.3%. Baseball has gone global. So has money.
In that same time frame, the total amount of foreign direct investment in the
world has by over $1.2 trillion.[ii]
In Figures 1-4, we can see that for several countries these increases appear to
be correlated. But is one affecting the other? It is hard to separate cultural
globalization from economic globalization and even harder to determine which
comes first. This analysis uses the exportation of baseball players from other
countries to the United States’ Major League baseball as a measure of cultural
globalization and investigates its impact on the amount of foreign direct
investment coming into a country, a measure of economic globalization. Specifically,
the analysis explores the possibility that as a country opens itself up
culturally, its increasing openness and new connections to the outside world result
in economic globalization.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
The globalization of sport and its
impacts on nations has been evaluated extensively in the sports community. Baseball
has been argued as a means to further US political interests by serving as a
non-threatening, benevolent cultural institution of the United States and
softens responses to US involvement in a country.[iii]
There is also obvious economic benefits to transnational corporations as
foreign born players create foreign born fans looking to check in on native
sons in the big leagues and transnational corporations benefit immensely from
the opening of new baseball markets.[iv]
The explanation for the increase in foreign direct investment has often been
attributed to the liberalization of trade and globalization[v]
and scholars have attempted to quantify the effect of “informal institutions”
on a country’s involvement in and openness to foreign direct investment,
finding significant results[vi].
Cultural globalization can be considered as one those informal institutions however,
scholarship has yet to explore potential measurements for cultural
globalization that can be separated from economic globalization. Sports
literature clearly illustrates baseball as a form of cultural globalization and
even discusses its role in opening up a country’s inhabitants to outside
influence. Using baseball as measurement of cultural globalization then,
provides a way independent enough from economic globalization to hold a real
analysis on the relationship between economic and cultural globalization.
The analysis includes the impact of
other variables that could confound the results if not accounted for: previous
FDI, average income, amount of exports, and the amount of natural resources.[vii]
In order to ensure there was no possibility of finding results where it might
be foreign direct investment impacting baseball players exported to the United
States instead of the reverse, a statistical model that matches the number of
baseball players in one year to the amount FDI[viii]
three years later is used. The other variables in the model have been similarly
lagged two years behind FDI for continuity. In short, the model is designed to
account for the time it takes for impacts to occur and control for variables
that differ between countries but not over time.[ix]
For example, the model can control for the long standing embargo the United
States has against Cuba and how that might impact both FDI and players exported
to the United States.
Table 1. Regression Models for MLB Players on FDI
DV:
Foreign Direct Investment
|
Model 1
|
Model 2
|
Model 3
|
Number
of Players in Major League Baseball
|
0.04***
(8.03)
|
||
# of
Players in MLB
(Lagged
3 years)
|
0.04***
(7.71)
|
0.005*
(2.14)
|
|
Foreign
Direct Investment for the Year Before
|
0.584***
(22.31)
|
||
GNI
per capita (constant 2005 US$)(Lagged 2 Yrs)
|
0.000*
(2.48)
|
||
Total
natural resources rents (% of GDP) (Lagged 2 Yrs)
|
-0.028***
(-3.57)
|
||
Logged
Exports
(Lagged
2 Yrs)
|
0.429***
(9.55)
|
||
R^2
Observations
|
0.05
1256
|
0.05
1200
|
0.79
885
|
Note: OLS
estimates with t-stats in parentheses.* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p <
0.001
Sources: World
Bank Development Indicators, BaseballReference.com
Table 1 above shows the complete
results of the analysis. The first model shows a simple regression without
considering potential bias while models 2 and 3 provide a more accurate
analysis. Model 3 reflects the complete model and demonstrates that an increase
in the number of baseball players does correspond to later increase FDI for a
country. The coefficients of the impact for each variable are at statistically
significant meaning they we can reject the concept that the correlation is the
result of random chance and assert that there
is a real correlation between baseballers in MLB and FDI into a country.
While the size of the coefficients for the variables appear small, the fact that
the dependent variable is logged means that these are percentage changes not
changes in raw numbers which makes them more impactful.
This analysis shows that cultural
globalization as demonstrated by the exportation of baseball players to MLB
does have an impact on later economic globalization as measured by foreign
direct investment. While we should better evaluate how good of a measurement of
cultural globalization that players in MLB actually is before we can draw
further conclusions from this model, the evidence lends itself to the argument
that baseball players can affect FDI. We should note the argument that some
initial foreign direct investment may have been necessary in order to groom
future professional baseball players but there is still a clear uptick in FDI
that follows an increase in the exportation of baseball players.
[i] http://m.mlb.com/news/article/70623418/2014-opening-day-rosters-feature-224-players-born-outside-the-us
[ii] https://www.globalpolicy.org/component/content/article/213/45740.html
[iii]
Klein, Alan. 1989. “Baseball as Underdevelopment: The Political Economy of
Sport in the Dominican Republic”. Sociology
of Sport Journal 6, no. 2: 95-112.
[iv]
Marcano, A.J. & Fidler D.P. 2000. “The Globalization of Baseball: Major
League Baseball and the mistreatment of Latin American talent”. Indiana Journal of Global Legal Studies 6,
no. 2: 511-577.
Gems, Gerald & Pfister, Gertrud. 2014. “Sport &
Globalization: power games in a New World order.” Movement and Sport Science 86: 51-62.
[v] Volos,
Ch. K, I.M. Kyrianidis, and I.N. Stouboulos. 2015. “The Effect of Foreign
Direct Investment in Economic Growth from the Perspective of Nonlinear
Dynamics”. Journal of Engineering Science
and Technology Review 8, no. 1:1-7.
Landefeld, J. Steven & Whichard, Obie G. 2006. “The
importance of, and pitfalls in, measuring globalization”. Statistical Journal of the UN Economic Commission for Europe 23,
no. 2/3: 127-142.
[vi] Seyoum,
Baley. 2011. “Informal Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment”. Journal of Economic Studies 45, no. 4:
917-40.
[vii]
A full table of summary statistics with explanations for the variables in the
model is available in the appendix.
[viii]
The amount of FDI and exports were logged before inclusion in order to better
account for the positive skew of the raw numbers.
[ix] A
fixed effects model was employed and a Hausman Test showing the utility of
using a fixed effects model over a random effects model is available in the
appendix.
Appendix
Summary Statistics Table for Blog Post 2
Mean
|
Std. Dev.
|
Min.
|
Max.
|
Description
|
|
Net Foreign Direct Investment (Logged)
|
21.13
|
2.37
|
11.00
|
26.26
|
The log of
the net amount of Foreign Direct Investment received (Source: WBDI)
|
Players in MLB
|
7.03
|
20.70
|
0.00
|
160.00
|
Number of Players in MLB by Country
(Source: BaseballReference.com)
|
Natural Resource Rents
|
5.03
|
7.51
|
0.00
|
58.18
|
Total amount received for exportation of Natural Resources
(US$) (Source: WBDI)
|
GNI per capita
|
15401.80
|
14478.53
|
252.86
|
67582.69
|
Average Income for a Country’s Population (US$) (Source: WBDI)
|
Merchandise Exports (Logged)
|
23.93
|
2.26
|
18.45
|
28.02
|
The log of the amount of merchandise exported
(Source: WBDI)
|
Hausman Test Results Table
Variable
|
Fixed
Effects Coefficient
|
Random
Effects Coefficient
|
Difference
|
Standard
Error of the Differences
|
Players
in MLB (3-Yr. Lag)
|
.0048731
|
.0006802
|
.0041929
|
.0018432
|
FDI
(1-Yr. Lag)
|
.5836586
|
.7931641
|
-.2095055
|
.0177884
|
GNI
per Capita (2-Yr Lag)
|
.0000174
|
2.18e-07
|
.0000172
|
6.60e-06
|
Natural
Resource Rents (2-Yr Lag)
|
-.0278745
|
-.0031953
|
-.0246792
|
.0070134
|
Exports
(Logged, 2-Yr Lag)
|
.4292305
|
.1635982
|
.2656323
|
.0394832
|
chi2(5) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B) = 143.55 Prob>chi2
= 0.0000
|
The Hausman test reveals that error
term for the random effects model is actually correlated with the regressors.
As a result, the random effects model cannot be considered accurate and a fixed
effects model should be employed.
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